My predictions for 2024

Wrong
Serial no.
P24-EU-001

Labour will win a majority, with around 330 seats — a bit less than Boris Johnson’s 2019 barnstorm. They will be weighed down by a strong performance from the Lib Dems.

A dog could have predicted Labour would win — i’m not inclined to give myself this.

Correct
Serial no.
P24-EU-002

They will also markedly improve their seat count in Scotland, to the SNP’s detriment.

N/A
Serial no.
P24-AM-999

I have no prediction for the outcome of the U.S.’ presidential election. Literally anything could happen — that thing’s shape in the weft of history is that of a chaos butterfly.

Wrong
Serial no.
P24-AM-002

One of the Messrs Trump and Biden may die, this year or next year. It seems like the sort of thing that might happen to throw a wrench into things.

Wrong… but only by a few centimetres.

Wrong
Serial no.
P24-WA-001

Israel wins the war in Gaza, at a steep cost to human life. The people thereof will be no better off than before, whatever comes after.

The bolded part? Not yet. The rest of it? Alas…

Correct
Serial no.
P24-WA-002

Narendra Modi remains in power in India.

Wrong
Serial no.
P24-AF-001

A coup will overtake another Ecowas country.

Correct
Serial no.
P24-TC-001

An Anglosphere country will ban TikTok (where “Anglosphere” here means one of the U.S., the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, or Ireland).

Squeaking in under the buzzer, the U.S. is set to ban TikTok from January 19th to presumably the very next day.

Mixed results
Serial no.
P24-TC-002

Stable Diffusion will win its lawsuit or settle out of court

These things always take longer than my hurried arse expects.

Wrong
Serial no.
P24-TC-003

…But OpenAI will lose its.

Correct
Serial no.
P24-TC-004

There will be another Nintendo “gigaleak”.

Yep, this time from Game Freak.

Mixed results
Serial no.
P24-PC-001

The vibes are off; pop music in 2024 will be the least relevant it’s been in a long while. The average person on the street will struggle to name more than one or two songs that will have come out this year. (Gosh, that last sentence was a tense car crash, wasn’t it?)

Too subjective to really judge. People seem to like this Chappel Roan fellow.

Mixed results
Serial no.
P24-PC-002

Marvel will implode in spectacular fashion, with some big internal shakeup or another.

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2 comments

  1. HC says…
    the United States

    Time to see what happens this year...

    Also, any predictions relating to disney (mainly animated) movies? (considering how many movies of theirs have failed these years)

  2. Xanthe says…
    2w8373gz the United Kingdom

    @171 I think Deadpool 3 will do well, and the new Planet of the Apes / Lion King sequels might be fluke hits, but everything else— woof.

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